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FIFA World Cup 2026

World Cup 2026: McGinn's Strike Gives Scotland a 1-0 Win Over Haiti

By Marcus Reed3 min read

McGinn's 28th-minute goal does the job in Foxborough

Scotland opened their World Cup 2026 Group C campaign with a 1-0 win over Haiti at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, under a clear night with the temperature around 23°C. The only goal came from John McGinn in the 28th minute, and it proved enough on a night when neither side could find a second.

The stat sheet tells a fascinatingly even story. Both teams finished on an expected goals (xG = the quality of chances created) figure of 1.05, and both registered two shots on target. Haiti actually controlled the ball more, with 54% possession to Scotland's 46%, and launched more attacks — 101 to 77. Haiti also piled up the volume in front of goal, taking 16 total shots (nine off target, two on, four blocked) versus Scotland's eight. Where the numbers diverge is in efficiency and end product: Scotland's shot accuracy sat at 22% to Haiti's 13%, and Scotland created two big chances to Haiti's one. Algeria's Mustapha Ghorbal kept a busy whistle, with Haiti committing 23 fouls and Scotland 21.

Per the official model from highlightly, Scotland were the favourites going in, and the scoreline matched the forecast almost exactly.

How both sides lined up at Gillette Stadium

Haiti4-4-2
18Isidor20Pierrot
15Providence10Bellegarde17Jean Jacques11Don Deedson
8Expérience5Delcroix4Adé2Arcus
1Placide
Bench (15)

12 Pierre · 23 Duverger · 3 Thermoncy · 13 Lacroix · 14 Metusala · 22 Duverne · 24 Paugain · 6 Fred Sainté · 25 Simon · 26 Pierre · 21 Casimir · 7 Etienne · 9 Nazon · 16 Joseph · 19 Fortune

Scotland4-4-2
10Adams20Shankland
7McGinn19Ferguson4McTominay17Gannon-Doak
3Robertson5Hanley13Hendry2Hickey
1Gunn
Bench (15)

12 Kelly · 21 Gordon · 6 Tierney · 15 Souttar · 16 Hyam · 22 Patterson · 24 Ralston · 26 McKenna · 8 Fletcher · 11 Christie · 23 McLean · 25 Curtis · 9 Dykes · 14 Stewart · 18 Hirst

From McGinn's opener to a flurry of late cards

The decisive moment arrived early. John McGinn broke the deadlock in the 28th minute, and that single strike would shape the rest of the night. Haiti picked up the first booking just before the break when Junior Bellegarde was cautioned in the 39th minute, and Scotland's Aaron Hickey followed with a yellow right at the restart in the 46th.

The middle third of the game was about managing the lead and refreshing legs. Haiti turned to their bench first, with Jonathan Casimir coming on for Loïck Deedson in the 61st minute. Scotland made a triple change in the 75th — Ryan Christie replacing Ben Gannon-Doak, Nathan Patterson on for Hickey, and Lyndon Dykes in for Che Adams — before Haiti countered with Leverton Joseph for Wilkin Isidor a minute later.

The closing stretch saw more rotation and a rash of late cautions. McGinn himself was withdrawn in the 83rd minute, replaced by Fraser Curtis, with Kenny McLean coming on for Lawrence Shankland at the same time. Haiti's Yvener Fortune entered for Ruben Providence in the 85th. Deep into stoppage time, Scotland's discipline frayed: Curtis was booked in the 90+1 and McLean in the 90+5, leaving Steve Clarke's side with three yellows to Haiti's one but, crucially, all three points.

Haiti0 – 1Scotland
  1. 28

    J. McGinn

    Goal

    J. Bellegarde

    Yellow card

    🟨39
    🟨46

    A. Hickey

    Yellow card

    J. Casimir

    L. Deedson

    Substitution

    🔄61
    🔄75

    R. Christie

    B. Gannon-Doak

    Substitution

    🔄75

    N. Patterson

    A. Hickey

    Substitution

    🔄75

    L. Dykes

    C. Adams

    Substitution

    L. Joseph

    W. Isidor

    Substitution

    🔄76
    🔄83

    F. Curtis

    J. McGinn

    Substitution

    🔄83

    K. McLean

    L. Shankland

    Substitution

    Y. Fortune

    R. Providence

    Substitution

    🔄85
    🟨90+1

    F. Curtis

    Yellow card

    🟨90+5

    K. McLean

    Yellow card

The model backed Scotland — and Scotland delivered

The futbol.so community didn't register a clear lean on this one, so there's no fan call to score against the result. The official forecast, though, read this game well: it framed Scotland as the most likely winners, with a draw the second-most likely outcome and a Haiti win the longest shot. The 1-0 final landed squarely on the favoured side, and the even xG of 1.05 apiece hints at why a Haiti point was never far-fetched. This was the kind of result the numbers expected, even if the run of play kept it tense until the final whistle.

Video highlights

Three points and top-of-the-group bragging notwithstanding, the picture in Group C is still unsettled. After three matches, Scotland sit third on three points with a goal difference of -3, currently ranked 10th among the third-placed teams — and since only the eight best thirds across the twelve groups reach the Round of 32, that provisional standing means they aren't yet through. Haiti, meanwhile, finish bottom on zero points and are out of the group stage.

For Scotland, the wait now turns to how other groups shake out. The win keeps them alive, but it doesn't punch the ticket on its own.

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